|
"It's all coming to me now... more of the same for 2012..." |
|
Honk! Honk! I am back from the islands and ready with a fully-researched batch of posts. I also have a bag of viewer mail and video, including notes from labor, management, and the people caught in the middle. January is going to be great fun for all lovers of satire and those willing to laugh at how low and slow some are willing to fly to try and manipulate others! Before we get to the (belated) predictions for 2012, I must recognize one pilot that wrote in during December just before I left. A 12-year captain in the X who wrote in to describe how he sat down over his Christmas break and printed and read every single Lupee Eno-Eno-Rouf since July of 2008 and he reported back that anyone willing to do same would see why management will not touch Lupee, line pilots are confused/infected with Lupees, and as a public figure Lupee is the best source of satire that we have next to the 2012 Presidential campaign. Thank you. Now, on to...
12 Crystal-Clear Predictions for 2012
12. BAD INFO MOJO
Lupee will continue to coordinate with terminated / resigned "on principle" partner Bend Over, and claim that they have deep business knowledge of how the company works in spite of not once coming to the table to accept inside data and work on any interest-based solutions (also known as pathetically cobbling together publicly available information and guessing).
-------------------------------------------------------
11. GOOD MONEY FOR FOOT BULLETS
Lupee will continue to spend dues money, payer fees, and management pilot fees on organizing 1) NJE pilots that will turn around and bargain international flying away from NJASAP pilots, 2) Flight Center employees who, if organized, will have to wait years to see any contractual benefits and be excluded from any profit sharing, 3) EJM pilots/employees, resulting in the destruction of EJM and a flood of aircraft into the low-cost charter market, shrinking the moat and harming the longevity of the fractional provider.
-------------------------------------------------------
10. SELF-FULFILLING PROPHECY WILL BE SELF-FULFILLED
Will the parent company ask the company to order less airplanes because the sector is depressed, charter has never been cheaper, and sales are soft OR will the parent company ask the company to restructure orders, order less airplanes because the union radicals are making war and owners flee to cheap charter? Fellow flyers - does the reason why matter? The Goose needs help, ideas, interest-based proposals. We have enough problems already without making more. To stop the self-fulfilling prophecies we will need leaders that think for themselves, or have balls. Either will do. Neither is likely.
-------------------------------------------------------
9. LUPEE'S HATRED WILL BANKRUPT THE UNION
How do I know? I asked A THIRD PARTY what it costs to arbitrate each 401(k) grievance. Even when bundled together, the 1000 or so grievances will cost each party $5-6 Million. Will Hansell want to pay that much to break the union's bank account? I hope he is not reading the Eno-Eno-Roufs, because only an industry vet would be able to resist the bait. Did you know that even with the different types of harm (portfolio increases of 1-4%), they all qualify for the single class-action? I sure hope the company agrees to roll them into one... of course Lupee is counting on your willingness to pay for picket signs, banner tows, newspaper ads, and of course, regular union operations like stipends for stewards by assessing the members for more dues once he's emptied out the bank account. Looks like one symptom of Lupees is letting anger keep one from thinking things through. Just look at patient zero.
-------------------------------------------------------
8. FINGER-POINTING WILL SIGNAL THE BEGINNING OF THE WIND-DOWN
Bend Over and Lupees will blame mis-management for the wind-down. Management will blame union rhetoric for the wind down. It won't matter, the 500-800 pilots that get to fly the permanently smaller company will have theirs (well, the 250-400 Captains will, anyway). Truth is, the parent company will decide if the shrinking will continue - based on their confidence in the employees to execute the growth plan - the very plan the union is avoiding seeing at all costs, since then they would be accountable for actually participating. The current path is much easier for the future consulting careers of union leadership.
-------------------------------------------------------
7. LUPEES WILL ENDORSE THE "SELL THE COMPANY" FANTASY
Yes, sell the company. Free market forces will suddenly realize that a product that in some markets is 4x more expensive than charter, with runaway labor costs and no alternatives in sight, with huge debt and a razor-thin margin, is a GREAT buy. Perhaps the old chairman will buy the place back - certainly that's why he sold Celene's old crib at a discount, so he can bet that on one of his horses, win big, and buy it all back....
-------------------------------------------------------
6. ABUSE OF VOLUNTEERS WILL CONTINUE UNTIL MORALE IMPROVES
Lupee will continue to sit on / interfere with as many joint company-union activities as possible in order to suppress the communication of strategic, monthly, and daily progress on the committee level. Volunteers that dare to collaborate with their company partners will be forever branded as "company leg-humpers" and either fired, discredited, or humiliated into leaving their positions so that an appropriately stipend-ed Lupeeite can sit there and make war out of every opportunity.
-------------------------------------------------------
5. MORE CLASSIC HITS: LIE, LIE, LIE, AND MAKE COUNTER-ACCUSATIONS
Lack of engagement is the strategy that allows Lupees to spin the web of lies. Trying to run a business is what allows the company to continue to make mistakes that give credit to the lies. 401k communication? Riiiight. Pilots being brought in for dicipline? Riiiight. Reliable sources claim individual pilot data is being culled from intellijet and it will soon be clear that the 40 bullies that dominate the river of lies on the message boards are the top fatiguers, sick-callers, and policy abusers that cause the rest of us to sit standby more and get home later. When on earth is someone going to grow some balls and fire those people? See, there is room for improvement on both sides. Company can be more transparent, union can stop allowing the worst of the worst to set the strategy from the internet.
-------------------------------------------------------
4. ALL UNION CREDIBILITY WILL BE DESTROYED
Once it could be said that every pilot was "the union." Increasingly it is obvious that "the union" is in the mind of a handful of self-interested die-hards, and die their credibility will, along with that of every other pilot. It is bad enough that unprofessional behavior and bullying led to "informational picketing" that will forever harm the brand in the eyes of the owners and prospective owners, but because the company will not bend-over and accept childish antics the picketing, taunting via billboards, will escalate to newspaper adds, banner tows, and leafleting. Leverage is not being created. The ability of the company to sit down and expect to accomplish anything is evaporating. The word of union leaders will mean nothing, making any deals impossible and the slow death of the company inevitable. If self-fulfilling prophecies can be molded into interest-based proposals, or even honest meetings, then there may be hope.
-------------------------------------------------------
3. THE COMPANY WILL NEVER AGAIN HAVE A SMALL-GROUP MEETING WITH THE UNION
Simple explanation: No one can trust the dude farther than you can throw him, and one or two sycophants do not make reliable witnesses. Just go to
njcrew and catch up on the correspondence and you will see that Lupees has a purpose in life... occupying hundreds of hours of company resources setting the record straight.
-------------------------------------------------------
2. THE "YOU CAN'T CHANGE HORSES MID-STRIDE" BATTLE CRY WILL BE IN VOGUE
There is an election looming and the ultimate union FUD campaign is around the corner. It will go like this, "Look, the company is buying X (airplanes, companies, FBOs, Chinese battery plants) and you need me to negotiate your next agreement." It is true, we need an experienced, mature negotiator working for us. But who is that? Can we pay for that experience? What if bargaining becomes prolonged? Then what? Who can provide consistency? I don't know. I DO know that Lupee could not close a revolving door, much less a deal. Just ask around. There's a six-year old quote from some of the negotiating committee members about his ability to close.
-------------------------------------------------------
1. WHEN ALL ELSE FAILS, THE PERSONAL ATTACKS WILL CONTINUE
Because, as you will hear:
"It's not our/my fault. It's all their fault."
- It takes two to tango and Lupees forces them onto the high road so far, they will have to execute the business plan without union input.
"We can't work with lawyers like Kheller and Rosenthal."
- That's right, you can't.
"We have more experience running companies than they do."
- Running them into the ground.
"They are not wissening to me!"
- Go to Cornell and learn Interest-Based Bargaining, stop spending your constituent money harming their interests, halt the baseless rhetoric, then maybe they will have something to listen to.
"They have brought in union-busters!"
- At this point, who can blame them. I hope they aren't wasting the money on them, because just as a company that needs a union gets a union, a union can only really bust itself and Lupee is doing a bang-up job!
"Let's go down the list and discredit each and every manager..."
- I have never heard of a manager discrediting a union rep. Have you? Hmmm.
"We know who the Goose is, and he's the Weasel!"
- That's right, because Lupee is counting on the fact that no one else can put it together. With a network that spans all sides I, QS Goose, can report that there are no sides, just fools with opinions. Based on the bullying on the boards, is it any wonder why I allow the discussion of my identity to continue? I'll give you a hint... the last time Lupee spoke to the pilots at the hotel I was right there within 20 feet. Good luck with that! Honk!
- QSG